Special Report

Team Preparation

The American-Chinese trade war has occupied the world and affected the balances of international political and economic powers. The end of this conflict has become a necessity for both parties with the contraction of industrial activity in China for the first time in more than two years, and the decline in American industrial performance to its lowest levels since 15 months.

The conflict over financial market indicators was reflected, as the Shanghai index fell by about 25% and the SP500 index exceeded 6% at the end of last year. This conflict is on the throne of economic superiority between Washington and Beijing, each country has cost about 2.9 One billion dollars in 2018.

Despite the optimism expressed by the two parties as a result of the serious talks and entering into a truce, experts believe that these talks do not lead to an agreement by the first of March within a short period in light of the great challenges that stand in the way of resolving the crisis.

The threat and concern of a new world war

The agreement reached by US President Donald Trump and Chinese Shi Jinping earlier this month eased tensions between the two countries, but raised concern that a possible deal could not be reached by the end of the three-month opportunity he had approved. Trump to postpone implementation of the tariff increase.

With the participation of the United States allies from Mexico, Canada, Japan, Europe and India in this losing game, the real fear remains of an open war. Some experts and analysts believe that in the case of an unjustified Chinese attack on Taiwan, America must fight the war. With China, and so is Australia.

The prolonged, costly, and inconclusive US-China war will destroy the regional system in any case, because America's leadership in Asia will not survive the war with China, but there are those who disagree with them and do not see a military war looming, America, which was ready to go to nuclear war to save West Germany from the Soviets in the Cold War, will not fight China, which is not a similar threat, to fears the expansion of Soviet power previously.

No military war but rather cyber

Socially, economically and militarily, China and the United States enjoy profound fluency, and are highly dependent on online communication, and a significant breakthrough in this connection can have disastrous effects.

This is clearly evidenced by the Huawei crisis. Today, the 5G telecom market is one of the main reasons for the outbreak of the trade dispute between the two countries. This technology is an essential part of a strategy (made in China 2025) that will enhance the technological strength Beijing, while the United States considers it a threat to its national security.

The volume of the 5G services market is expected to exceed $ 250 billion by 2025, and the volume of data that this market deals with will exceed the rate of data used in 4G networks by about a thousand times, which portends a new stage of risk Wa ...